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08th Nov 2016

This is who will win the US Presidential Election according to final polls

Alan Loughnane

Voting takes place today…

After what has seemed like a lifetime of build-up, the day of reckoning is here as the American public takes to the polls to decide which direction they want to take their country in the future, the left, or the right.

The news in the final polls ahead of the election looks favourable for Hillary on most counts, following an initial dip in the wake of the recent email scandal which raised questions about her honesty among the undecided voters.

On Sunday, the FBI announced that they were sticking with their original decision not to pursue the matter any further which ended the Trump camp’s speculation that she would be indicted.

On the back of the news, the final polls for the election have come in and this is what the main ones are predicting the outcome of the election will be when the dust has settled.

Many of the results fall within the margin for error on the polls.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll (Clinton plus 4)

The final poll on Sunday placed Hillary Clinton four points ahead of her presidential rival Donald Trump.

The NBC/WSJ poll has Hillary on 44 points with Trump trailing on 40 and with Libertarian party candidate Gary Johnson at six per cent and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein had 2 per cent of support.

ABC/Washington Post (Clinton plus 4)

Similar to the poll above, the ABC/Washington Post poll has given Hillary a slender four point lead in the race.

47% of voters are backing the Democratic candidate in the election while 43% are choosing Trump. When the third party candidates are excluded from the vote, the margin falls to 3%.

Her margin is also the same size as Barack Obama’s winning margin against Mitt Romney in 2012, 51% to 47%.

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CBS News/New York Times (Clinton plus 3)

In their final poll for CBS News/New York Times released last Thursday, the found that Hillary had another narrow three point lead in the polls at 45% with Trump having back on 42%.

The gender gap remains with more men supporting Trump but Hillary has double digit support among female voters.

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein commanded 5% and 4% of the vote respectable.

Fox News  (Clinton plus 4)

In the final Fox News and show Clinton leading the race by 48% to 44%. Compared to a previous poll conducted by the same company, it showed a one point increase in support for Hillary.

The results are within the margin of error for the poll.

Clinton is now winning among women by 12 points (52-40 percent), African Americans by 85 (89-4 percent), Hispanics by 33 (63-30 percent), and voters under 30 by 16 (51-35 percent).

CNN (Clinton plus 4)

The latest CNN poll has given Hillary a four point lead over Trump 46% to 42%. But in most swing states, the race is very tight.

But if Clinton can hold onto most states who voted Democratic in recent elections and add a couple of swing states, it should be enough to win the election.

In case you were curious, this is why the US Presidential Election is always on in November.

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